Bits & Odds

Lucky Match — $10 Texas Scratch-Off #2705

Data captured September 12, 2026 · launched December 1, 2025

Lucky Match (#2705) is a $10 Texas scratch-off launched on December 1, 2025. As of September 12, 2026 it ranks #67 of 79 active games on current payout (64.3%, $6.43 expected back per ticket) and #12 of 13 $10 games, #40 on any-prize odds (1 in 3.95) and #48 on top-prize odds (1 in 1,939,219). Since launch the payout has fallen 5.8 points (70.0% at launch) and the any-prize odds have worsened 9.1% (1 in 3.62 at launch). 2 of 4 top prizes of $250,000 remain, and we estimate 3,878,437 tickets are still unsold (52.6% sold). That is below average for Texas; the Texas ranking lists show better payouts, including at $10.

Current payout
64.3%
70.0% at launch
Expected value
$6.43
per $10 ticket
Any-prize odds
1 in 3.95
1 in 3.62 at launch
Cash odds
1 in 3.95
excludes free tickets
Profit odds
1 in 6.22
win more than $10
$600+ odds
1 in 34,021
claim-at-lottery prizes
Top prizes left
2 of 4
$250,000 each
Tickets remaining
47.4%
≈ 3,878,437 tickets

Prizes remaining

Every prize level in Lucky Match, with the odds printed at launch, the odds today given what is left, and how much of each tier is still unclaimed. Across all tiers, 982,523 of 2,261,631 prizes (43.4%) are still out there.

PrizeOdds at launchOdds now TotalClaimedRemaining% left
$250,000 1 in 2,045,675 1 in 1,939,219 4 2 2 50.0%
$50,000 1 in 1,363,783 1 in 775,687 6 1 5 83.3%
$10,000 1 in 818,270 1 in 775,687 10 5 5 50.0%
$1,000 1 in 39,916 1 in 38,024 205 103 102 49.8%
$500 1 in 3,730 1 in 4,153 2,194 1,260 934 42.6%
$250 1 in 922.2 1 in 1,019 8,873 5,067 3,806 42.9%
$100 1 in 99.8 1 in 111.2 81,990 47,113 34,877 42.5%
$75 1 in 100.1 1 in 109.9 81,783 46,486 35,297 43.2%
$50 1 in 50.0 1 in 55.4 163,743 93,679 70,064 42.8%
$30 1 in 66.7 1 in 73.7 122,719 70,081 52,638 42.9%
$25 1 in 50.0 1 in 55.2 163,564 93,245 70,319 43.0%
$20 1 in 25.0 1 in 27.5 327,395 186,145 141,250 43.1%
$15 1 in 16.7 1 in 18.1 491,137 276,938 214,199 43.6%
$10 1 in 10.0 1 in 10.8 818,008 458,983 359,025 43.9%
All prizes1 in 3.621 in 3.95 2,261,6311,279,108 982,52343.4%

How Lucky Match has moved

63% 65% 66% Sep 2026Sep 2026Sep 2026
Current payout (solid) and any-prize odds (dashed, inverted so up is better) since we began tracking Lucky Match. 6 daily readings.

Lucky Match: common questions

How many $250,000 prizes are left in Lucky Match?
2 of 4 as of September 12, 2026. The chance that a ticket bought today is a top-prize winner is about 1 in 1,939,219.
What are the odds of winning anything on Lucky Match?
1 in 3.95 today, compared with 1 in 3.62 printed at launch. Cash-only odds are 1 in 3.95, and the odds of winning more than the $10 ticket price are 1 in 6.22.
Is Lucky Match worth buying?
Its current payout is 64.3% ($6.43 back per $10 ticket), rank #67 of 79 in Texas. The best $10 alternative today is Limited Edition Mega Loteria (#2721, $10) at 70.1%. No scratcher has a positive expected value; this is about losing less over time.
How many Lucky Match tickets are left?
We estimate 3,878,437 of roughly 8,182,700 printed tickets are unsold (52.6% sold), derived from the prizes claimed at each tier and their published odds.
When did Lucky Match launch and is it still on sale?
It launched on December 1, 2025. It is still on sale.

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